Ai For Estimates And Quotes

It’s estimated that AI could free up to 25% of clinician time across different specialties. This increased amount of time could mean less hurried encounters and more humane interactions, including more empathy from happier doctors. This is important because empathy has been shown to improve outcomes by boosting patient adherence to the prescribed treatments, increasing motivation, and reducing anxiety and stress.

An algorithm that expedites care to a stroke patient in a chaotic emergency room (ER) has a good chance of adoption. An algorithm that reads a routine scan and provides some quantification of what the physicians can already estimate won’t be in as much demand. There are good reasons for algorithms to parse patient records to look for signs of rare diseases, but there are fewer good reasons for using them to evaluate clinical symptoms. It’s cool that AI tools can make diagnoses from scratch, but for most clinical encounters doctors are already pretty good at it.

Je suis trop intelligente, trop exigeante et trop riche pour que personne puisse se charger de moi entièrement. Personne ne me connaît ni ne m'aime tout entière. Je n'ai que moi. Il ne faut pas que j'essaie de tromper cette solitude en renonçant à ce que je peux seule porter. Il faut que je vive, sachant que personne ne m'aidera à vivre. Ma force, c'est que je m'estime aussi haut que n'importe quel autrui ; je peux bien envier à l'un ou l'autre telle qualité ; de personne la valeur ne me semble dépasser la mienne : je possède autant. Seule je vivrai, forte de ce que je sais être.

- Dégage je t'ai dit ! - Je te fais une contre-proposition, lança Ellana que le poing brandi du barbu ne paraissait pas impressionner le moins du monde. Tu quittes l'auberge maintenant, sans bruit, avec la promesse de ne plus jamais y remettre les pieds, et je ne te casse pas en mille morceaux. Le colosse ouvrit la bouche pour un cri ou peut-être un rire, mais la voix de Jilano le lui vola. - C'est un marché de dupe ! s'écria-t-il sur un ton plein de verve. - Et pourquoi donc ? fit mine de se fâcher Ellana. - Parce que même si tu tapes fort, tu lui casseras au maximum une douzaine d'os. Allez, vingt parce que c'est toi. On est loin des mille morceaux que tu revendiques. Ellana soupira. - C'est une expression, il ne faut pas la prendre au pied de la lettre. - Sans doute, mais ce monsieur pourrait s'estimer grugé. - Très bien. Voilà ma contre-proposition réactualisée. Tu quittes l'auberge maintenant, sans bruit, avec la promesse de ne plus jamais y remettre les pieds et je ne te casse pas en douze morceaux. Peut-être vingt parce que c'est moi.

Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai compris qu'en toutes circonstances, J’étais à la bonne place, au bon moment. Et alors, j'ai pu me relaxer. Aujourd'hui je sais que cela s'appelle... l'Estime de soi. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai pu percevoir que mon anxiété et ma souffrance émotionnelle N’étaient rien d'autre qu'un signal Lorsque je vais à l'encontre de mes convictions. Aujourd'hui je sais que cela s'appelle... l'Authenticité. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J'ai cessé de vouloir une vie différente Et j'ai commencé à voir que tout ce qui m'arrive Contribue à ma croissance personnelle. Aujourd'hui, je sais que cela s'appelle... la Maturité. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai commencé à percevoir l'abus Dans le fait de forcer une situation ou une personne, Dans le seul but d'obtenir ce que je veux, Sachant très bien que ni la personne ni moi-même Ne sommes prêts et que ce n'est pas le moment... Aujourd'hui, je sais que cela s'appelle... le Respect. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai commencé à me libérer de tout ce qui n'était pas salutaire, personnes, situations, tout ce qui baissait mon énergie. Au début, ma raison appelait cela de l'égoïsme. Aujourd'hui, je sais que cela s'appelle... l'Amour propre. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai cessé d'avoir peur du temps libre Et j'ai arrêté de faire de grands plans, J’ai abandonné les méga-projets du futur. Aujourd'hui, je fais ce qui est correct, ce que j'aime Quand cela me plait et à mon rythme. Aujourd'hui, je sais que cela s'appelle... la Simplicité. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai cessé de chercher à avoir toujours raison, Et je me suis rendu compte de toutes les fois où je me suis trompé. Aujourd'hui, j'ai découvert ... l'Humilité. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai cessé de revivre le passé Et de me préoccuper de l'avenir. Aujourd'hui, je vis au présent, Là où toute la vie se passe. Aujourd'hui, je vis une seule journée à la fois. Et cela s'appelle... la Plénitude. Le jour où je me suis aimé pour de vrai, J’ai compris que ma tête pouvait me tromper et me décevoir. Mais si je la mets au service de mon coeur, Elle devient une alliée très précieuse ! Tout ceci, c'est... le Savoir vivre. Nous ne devons pas avoir peur de nous confronter. Du chaos naissent les étoiles.

PricewaterhouseCoopers estimates AI deployment will add $15.7 trillion to global GDP by 2030. China is predicted to take home $7 trillion of that total, nearly double North America’s $3.7 trillion in gains. As

An estimated 42,915 people died in traffic accidents on US roads in 2021. While there is ongoing debate about how much of this should be attributed to human error, it is clear that the overwhelming majority of crashes have human error as a key component—likely somewhere between 90 and 99 percent. Autonomous vehicles controlled by capable enough AI could eliminate almost all of these.

Recent estimates have Chinese companies outstripping U.S. competitors ten to one in quantity of food deliveries and fifty to one in spending on mobile payments. China’s e-commerce purchases are roughly double the U.S. totals, and the gap is only growing. Data on total trips through ride-hailing apps is somewhat scarce, but during the height of competition between Uber and Didi, self-reported numbers from the two companies had Didi’s rides in China at four times the total of Uber’s global rides. When it comes to rides on shared bikes, China is outpacing the United States at an astounding ratio of three hundred to one.

finalement, éperdu d'amour et au comble de la frénésie érotique, je m'assis dans l'herbe et j'enlevai un de mes souliers en caoutchouc. — Je vais le manger pour toi, si tu veux. Si elle le voulait I Ha! Mais bien sûr qu'elle le voulait, voyons! C'était une vraie petite femme. --- Elle posa son cerceau par terre et s'assit sur ses ta-lons. Je crus voir dans ses yeux une lueur d'estime. Je n'en demandais pas plus. Je pris mon canif et enta-mai le caoutchouc. Elle me regardait faire. — Tu vas le manger cru ? — Oui. J'avalai un morceau, puis un autre. Sous son regard enfin admiratif, je me sentais devenir vraiment un homme. Et j'avais raison. Je venais de faire mon apprentissage. J'entamai le caoutchouc encore plus profondément, soufflant un peu, entre les bouchées, et je continuai ainsi un bon moment, jusqu'à ce qu'une sueur froide me montât au front. Je continuai même un peu au-delà, serrant les dents, luttant contre la nausée, ramassant toutes mes forces pour demeurer sur le terrain, comme il me fallut le faire tant de fois, depuis, dans mon métier d'homme. Je fus très malade, on me transporta à l'hôpital, ma mère sanglotait, Aniela hurlait, les filles de l'atelier geignaient, pendant qu'on me mettait sur un brancard dans l'ambulance. J'étais très fier de moi. Mon amour d'enfant m'inspira vingt ans plus tard mon premier roman Éducation européenne, et aussi certains passages du Grand Vestiaire. Pendant longtemps, à travers mes pérégrinations, j'ai transporté avec moi un soulier d'enfant en caoutchouc, entamé au couteau. J'avais vingt-cinq ans, puis trente, puis quarante, mais le soulier était toujours là, à portée de la main. J'étais toujours prêt à m'y attabler, à donner, une fois de plus, le meilleur de moi-même. Ça ne s'est pas trouvé. Finalement, j'ai abandonné le soulier quelque part derrière moi. On ne vit pas deux fois. (La promesse de l'aube, ch. XI)

RENEWABLE ENERGY REVOLUTION: SOLAR + WIND + BATTERIES In addition to AI, we are on the cusp of another important technological revolution—renewable energy. Together, solar photovoltaic, wind power, and lithium-ion battery storage technologies will create the capability of replacing most if not all of our energy infrastructure with renewable clean energy. By 2041, much of the developed world and some developing countries will be primarily powered by solar and wind. The cost of solar energy dropped 82 percent from 2010 to 2020, while the cost of wind energy dropped 46 percent. Solar and onshore wind are now the cheapest sources of electricity. In addition, lithium-ion battery storage cost has dropped 87 percent from 2010 to 2020. It will drop further thanks to the massive production of batteries for electrical vehicles. This rapid drop in the price of battery storage will make it possible to store the solar/wind energy from sunny and windy days for future use. Think tank RethinkX estimates that with a $2 trillion investment through 2030, the cost of energy in the United States will drop to 3 cents per kilowatt-hour, less than one-quarter of today’s cost. By 2041, it should be even lower, as the prices of these three components continue to descend. What happens on days when a given area’s battery energy storage is full—will any generated energy left unused be wasted? RethinkX predicts that these circumstances will create a new class of energy called “super power” at essentially zero cost, usually during the sunniest or most windy days. With intelligent scheduling, this “super power” can be used for non-time-sensitive applications such as charging batteries of idle cars, water desalination and treatment, waste recycling, metal refining, carbon removal, blockchain consensus algorithms, AI drug discovery, and manufacturing activities whose costs are energy-driven. Such a system would not only dramatically decrease energy cost, but also power new applications and inventions that were previously too expensive to pursue. As the cost of energy plummets, the cost of water, materials, manufacturing, computation, and anything that has a major energy component will drop, too. The solar + wind + batteries approach to new energy will also be 100-percent clean energy. Switching to this form of energy can eliminate more than 50 percent of all greenhouse gas emissions, which is by far the largest culprit of climate change.

Quand la sexologue Shere Hite a récolté les témoignages de quelque 4 500 Américaines sur leur vie amoureuse et sexuelle, dans les années 1970, nombre d'entre elles ont déclaré que leur mari ou compagnon avait une attitude condescendante, arrogante ou carrément insultante. Il les rabaissait ou les disqualifiait, tournait en dérision leurs opinions ou leurs centres d'intérêt. « Il me parle sur un ton qui me fait me sentir inepte et stupide » ; « Il se comporte comme s'il savait tout » ; « Il a des attitudes paternalistes, comme son père. Sauf qu'il le voit chez son père, mais pas chez lui » ; « Il estime que sa parole a force de loi » ; « À une époque, il me faisait la leçon comme à une gamine. Mais je ne l'ai pas lâché avec ça et il a fini par arrêter »… Aux antipodes de cette assurance masculine, les femmes intègrent très tôt une tendance non seulement à pratiquer l'introspection et à se remettre en question (ce qui est plutôt positifs), mais aussi à douter d'elles-mêmes, à se culpabiliser sans cesse, à penser que tout est de leur faute ou de leur responsabilité, à s'excuser d'exister (ce qui est nettement moins bien). Cette tendance nous affaiblit considérablement dans un rapport amoureux, surtout quand il se révèle abusif. (p. 102)

La jalousie ne m'est pas un sentiment inconnu, il est néanmoins très éloigné de moi. Je ne connais pas la possessivité, n'estimant pas qu'on dispose de prérogatives sur les êtres, je ne suis pas à l'aise avec la notion même de propriété. Je respecte au plus haut point la liberté de chacun (probablement parce que je ne supporterais pas qu'on entame la mienne). Je suis capable aussi, me semble-t-il, de discernement, et même de détachement. En tout cas, ce sont des qualités qu'on m'attribue, même à cet âge-là. Généralement, je ne me comporte pas en envieux et j'ai toujours trouvé avilissante l'agressivité hideuse des mégères. Sauf que tous mes beaux principes s'écroulent en une seconde, la seconde de la jeune fille sautant au cou de Thomas. Parce que cette scène témoigne d'une vie vécue en dehors de moi. Et me renvoie au vide, à l'inexistence de la façon la plus cruelle. Parce qu'elle montre ce qui m'est dissimulé habituellement. Parce qu'elle raconte le charme du garçon ténébreux et le nombre des tentatives qui doivent se produire afin de s'en approcher. Parce qu'elle offre une alternative au garçon déboussolé, tiraillé. En réalité, je ne supporte pas l'idée qu'on pourrait me le ravir. Que je pourrais le perdre. Je découvre –  pauvre imbécile  – la morsure du sentiment amoureux.

En ce qui concerne l’arabe et le berbère, je ne dirai qu’une chose : j’estime qu’un berbère qui ne connaît pas l’arabe, ne connaît pas le Maroc et l’arabe qui ne sait pas le berbère, non plus. Quant à l’origine des uns et des autres, et puisqu’on parle beaucoup ces derniers temps d’ADN, je voudrais déplorer le fait que chez nous, on a l’esprit insuffisamment scientifique pour remettre en cause des données historiques héritées, qu’on s’en tient à ce qui a été dit il y a mille ans. Or, je peux vous dire que les civilisations berbère et égyptienne ont une même origine, le centre du Grand Sahara. Quand je travaillais sur le dictionnaire berbère (j’y ai consacré 27 ans de ma vie), il y a eu une racine berbère qui m’a intriguée. Il s’agit d’un verbe, Sko, qui veut dire dans tous les dialectes berbères, « bâtir », sauf chez les touaregs où il veut dire « enterrer ». Or, c’est de notoriété publique, le touareg est un isolant linguistique, conservateur, qui peut porter les traces d’une signification originelle. Petit à petit, j’ai réuni suffisamment d’éléments pour affirmer qu’à l’époque des hordes dans le Grand Sahara, on a commencé à enterrer les morts. Puis, les gens n’étant pas sédentarisés, on a été obligés de construire un édifice reconnaissable sur chaque tombe. Par ce détail linguistique, je suis arrivé à l’hypothèse de l’origine historique commune, saharienne, des Berbères et des Egyptiens. Quand j’ai exposé ma thèse à l’Académie Royale du Maroc, elle a été accueillie très froidement. Mais une anthroplogue américaine qui menait une recherche sur les deux civilisations puis un livre paru en 2000 2 ont corroboré mon propos et montré qu’au moment de la désertification, les populations ont émigré vers l’Ouest (le Maghreb) et l’Est (l’Egypte) au plus proche des points d’eau 3, avec une particularité bovine du côté du Nil et une orientation pastoraliste ovine du côté du Maghreb. [Interview Economia, Octobre 2010]

je lui tendis les trois pommes vertes que je venais de voler dans le verger. Elle les accepta et m'annonça, comme en passant : — Janek a mangé pour moi toute sa collection de timbres-poste. C'est ainsi que mon martyre commença. Au cours des jours qui suivirent, je mangeai pour Valentine plusieurs poignées de vers de terre, un grand nombre de papillons, un kilo de cerises avec les noyaux, une souris, et, pour finir, je peux dire qu'à neuf ans, c'est-à-dire bien plus jeune que Casanova, je pris place parmi les plus grands amants de tous les temps, en accomplissant une prouesse amoureuse que personne, à ma connaissance, n'est jamais venu égaler. Je mangeai pour ma bien-aimée un soulier en caoutchouc. Ici, je dois ouvrir une parenthèse. Je sais bien que, lorsqu'il s'agit de leurs exploits amoureux, les hommes ne sont que trop portés à la vantardise. A les entendre, leurs prouesses viriles ne connaissent pas de limite, et ils ne vous font grâce d'aucun détail. Je ne demande donc à personne de me croire lorsque j'affirme que, pour ma bien-aimée, je consommai encore un éventail japonais, dix mètres de fil de coton, un kilo de noyaux de cerises — Valentine me mâchait, pour ainsi dire, la besogne, en mangeant la chair et en me tendant les noyaux — et trois poissons rouges, que nous étions allés pêcher dans l'aquarium de son professeur de musique. Dieu sait ce que les femmes m'ont fait avaler dans ma vie, mais je n'ai jamais connu une nature aussi insatiable. C'était une Messaline doublée d'une Théodora de Byzance. Après cette expérience, on peut dire que je connaissais tout de l'amour. Mon éducation était faite. Je n'ai fait, depuis, que continuer sur ma lancée. Mon adorable Messaline n'avait que huit ans, mais son exigence physique dépassait tout ce qu'il me fut donné de connaître au cours de mon existence. Elle courait devant moi, dans la cour, me désignait du doigt tantôt un tas de feuilles, tantôt du sable, ou un vieux bouchon, et je m'exécutais sans murmurer. Encore bougrement heureux d'avoir pu être utile. A un moment, elle s'était mise à cueillir un bouquet de marguerites, que je voyais grandir dans sa main avec appréhension — mais je mangeai les marguerites aussi, sous son oeil attentif — elle savait déjà que les hommes essayent toujours de tricher, dans ces jeux-là — où je cherchais en vain une lueur d'admiration. Sans une marque d'estime ou de gratitude, elle repartit en sautillant, pour revenir, au bout d'un moment, avec quelques escargots qu'elle me tendit dans le creux de la main. Je mangeai humblement les escargots, coquille et tout. A cette époque, on n'apprenait encore rien aux enfants sur le mystère des sexes et j'étais convaincu que c'était ainsi qu'on faisait l'amour. J'avais probablement raison. Le plus triste était que je n'arrivais pas à l'impressionner. J'avais à peine fini les escargots qu'elle m'annonçait négligemment : — Josek a mangé dix araignées pour moi et il s'est arrêté seulement parce que maman nous a appelés pour le thé. Je frémis. Pendant que j'avais le dos tourné, elle me trompait avec mon meilleur ami. Mais j'avalai cela aussi. Je commençais à avoir l'habitude. (La promesse de l'aube, ch.XI)

In 2017, US companies are estimated to have allocated more than $650 million to fuel the AI talent race, with more than 10,000 available positions at top employers across the country. The top five tech companies have the capital to crowd out competitors: startups, universities, municipalities, established corporations in other industries, and less wealthy countries.31 In Britain, university administrators are already talking about a “missing generation” of data scientists.

PricewaterhouseCoopers estimates AI deployment will add $15.7 trillion to global GDP by 2030. China is predicted to take home $7 trillion of that total, nearly double North America’s $3.7 trillion in gains. As the economic balance of power tilts in China’s favor, so too will political influence and “soft power,” the country’s cultural and ideological footprint around the globe.

Gordon dismissed the productivity potential of autonomous cars, failing to understand that the reduction in accidents and the decrease in traffic jams would generate an estimated $1 trillion in annual savings to the US economy.

a European Commission study estimated that 40% of EU workers are overqualified for the jobs they hold.

AnyVision was not the only company implementing such AI technologies. Biometric facial recognition is a growth industry estimated to be worth US$11.6 billion globally by 2026. Cor-sight AI is a part Israeli-owned facial recognition company that works with the notoriously brutal police departments in Mexico and Brazil and the Israeli government.46 A former Israeli army colonel, Dany Tirza, partnered with Corsight AI to develop a police body camera that could immediately identify an individual in crowds, even if their face was covered, and match the person to photographs from years before. Tirza lives in the illegal West Bank settlement of Kfar Adumim and is one of the key architects of the Israeli separation wall that creeps through the West Bank. He supports facial recognition technology at Israeli checkpoints because it reduces “friction” between the IDF and Palestinians.47 The IDF uses extensive facial recognition with a growing network of cameras and mobile phones to document every Palestinian in the West Bank. Starting in 2019, Israeli soldiers used the Blue Wolf app to capture Palestinian faces, which were then compared to a massive database of images dubbed the “Facebook for Palestinians.” Soldiers were told to compete by taking the most photos of Palestinians and the most prolific would win prizes.

As demand grew, factories had to hire new armies of workers, and peacetime manufacturing employment peaked around 1920 at an estimated 26.9 percent of the civilian labor force.

As Tim Worstall estimated in Forbes in 2015, Facebook’s US-based revenue was about $8 billion, which would thus be its official contribution to GDP.[99] But if you value the amount of time people spend on Facebook even at minimum wage, the true benefit to consumers was around $230 billion.

According to current estimates, there are 21 to 26 billion neurons in the whole cerebral cortex, and 90 percent of those—or an average of around 21 billion—are in the neocortex itself.[

The US regulatory process involves three main phases of clinical trials, and according to a recent MIT study, only 13.8 percent of candidate drugs make it all the way through to FDA approval.[5] The ultimate result is a process that typically takes a decade to bring a new drug to market, at an average cost estimated between $1.3 billion and $2.6 billion.[

Recall my estimate that the computation inside the human brain (at the level of neurons) is on the order of 1014 per second. As of 2023, $1,000 of computing power could perform up to 130 trillion computations per second.[130] Based on the 2000–2023 trend, by 2053 about $1,000 of computing power (in 2023 dollars) will be enough to perform around 7 million times as many computations per second as the unenhanced human brain.[131]

Not only did your parents have to meet and make a baby, but the exact sperm had to meet the exact egg to result in you. It’s hard to estimate the likelihood of your mother and father having met and deciding to have a baby in the first place, but just in terms of the sperm and the egg, the probability that you would be created was one in two million trillion.

In the early 1970s there were about half a million computers. Back in 1983, only 562 computers total were connected to the primordial internet. Now the number of computers, smartphones, and connected devices is estimated at 14 billion.

These three companies have a choke hold on cutting-edge chips, a technology so physically constrained that one estimate argues they cost up to $10 billion per kilogram.

Most archaeologists estimate that the birth of human agriculture took place around 12,000 years ago, but there is some evidence that the earliest agriculture may date as far back as 23,000 years.

In 1820, an estimated 84 percent of the world population was living in extreme poverty by modern global standards.

Stanford research found that an estimated 39 percent of American heterosexual couples in 2017 had met online—many of those through mobile apps like Tinder and Hinge.

For example, in Oxford in the fourteenth century, there were an estimated 110 homicides per 100,000 people per year, whereas in London today there is less than one homicide per 100,000 people per year.

He estimates that these societies averaged a rate of death in warfare of 524 per 100,000 people per year. By comparison, the twentieth century saw two world wars—which included genocide, atomic bombings, and the largest-scale organized violence the world has ever seen—yet in Germany, Japan, and Russia, three of the countries hit hardest by this slaughter, the annual war death rates during that century were just 144, 27, and 135 per 100,000, respectively. The United States, by comparison, made it through the twentieth century with just 3.7 annual warfare deaths per 100,000, despite entering into conflicts all over the world.

In 1866, US corn farmers averaged an estimated 24.3 bushels per acre, and by 2021 this had reached 176.7 bushels per acre.[

- Ne jamais sous-estimer le danger de ne pas y aller, au bout du chemin. - Ne jamais confondre (j'ai confondu) les refuges, les oasis, les îles et les prisons. - Ne jamais ramener à leur maison les petites filles à bout de chemin.

Les étudiants sont nombreux à avoir l'impression de ne rien avoir retenu de leurs années d'école. Et je les trouve, en effet, assez peu dotés en matière de culture générale. Je me souviens d'une stagiaire de master 2 ; en classe, nous préparions ensemble la prochaine leçon d'histoire. La sentant mal à l'aise, je lui demande : "Tu t'en souviens quand même un peu, des Gaulois et des Romains ?" "Non, je ne me souviens de rien. J'ai l'impression de n'avoir rien appris. J'ai travaillé bêtement : j'ai ingurgité par cœur des leçons que j'ai su restituer. Mais en fait, je ne sais rien." Ce n'est pas de sa faute : le type d'apprentissage qu'on lui a demandé (le par cœur avec restitution à court terme) fait travailler une mémoire qui n'est pas efficace à long terme puisqu'elle n'oblige pas l'apprenant à faire du sens en faisant des liens avec d'autres savoirs acquis antérieurement. Donc, ne s'accrochant à rien, les connaissance s'effacent. […] Le plus grave ? Ce modèle scolaire donne l'illusion aux élèves qu'ils sont bons en classe. C'est ce que remarquait la stagiaire cité plus haut : "On m'a donné l'illusion que j'étais forte mais en fait, je suis un âne, j'apprends bêtement." J'ai eu beau lui répondre qu'elle avait fait preuve d'intelligence d'avoir appris ainsi, en s'adaptant à la demande de l'école, je ne l'ai pas rassurée. Mais au fond, quelle énergie dépensée pour ne rien retenir de ces années d'école… Sans compter que cette découverte est une sacrée déception, sur le plan de l'estime de soi. (p. 48-49)

It’s strange. You hear stories about ancillaries, and it seems like the most awful thing, the most viscerally appalling thing the Radchaai have done. To invade and take, what, half the adult population? And turn them into walking corpses, slaved to your ships’ AIs. Turned against their own people. If you’d asked me before you … annexed us, I’d have said it was a fate worse than death.” She turned to me. “Is it?” “None of my bodies is dead, Divine,” I said. “And your estimate of the typical percentage of annexed populations who were made into ancillaries is excessive.” “You used to horrify me,” said the head priest to me. “The very thought of you near was terrifying, your dead faces, those expressionless voices. But today I am more horrified at the thought of a unit of living human beings who serve voluntarily. Because I don’t think I could trust them.

Si je juge infantile l'idée d'un couple ouvert à tous les courants d'air, je n'ai pas beaucoup d'estime non plus pour les couples qui sentent le refermé ; et je n'ai que mépris pour le couple à l'ancienne, fondé sur la soumission de la femme à l'homme, ou sur la castration de l'homme par la femme, ou les deux à la fois.

PwC estimates that the United States and China are set to capture a full 70 percent of the $15.7 trillion that AI will add to the global economy by 2030, with China alone taking home $7 trillion.

According to scientists’ best estimates, about 2.9 billion years then passed between the first life on earth and the first multicellular life.[33] Another 500 million years passed before animals walked on land, and 200 million more before the first mammals appeared.[34] Focusing on the brain, the length of time between the first development of primitive nerve nets and the emergence of the earliest centralized, tripartite brain was somewhere over 100 million years.[35] The first basic neocortex didn’t appear for another 350 million to 400 million years, and it took another 200 million years or so for the modern human brain to evolve.[

The anarchical potential of AI is particularly alarming, because it is not only new human groups that it allows to join the public debate. For the first time ever, democracy must contend with a cacophony of nonhuman voices, too. On many social media platforms, bots constitute a sizable minority of participants. One analysis estimated that out of a sample of 20 million tweets generated during the 2016 U.S. election campaign, 3.8 million (almost 20 percent) were generated by bots.[48] By the early 2020s, things got worse. A 2020 study assessed that bots were producing 43.2 percent of tweets.[49] A more comprehensive 2022 study by the digital intelligence agency Similarweb found that 5 percent of Twitter users were probably bots, but they generated “between 20.8% and 29.2% of the content posted to Twitter.”[50] When humans try to debate a crucial question like whom to elect as U.S. president, what happens if many of the voices they hear are produced by computers?

One analysis estimated that out of a sample of 20 million tweets generated during the 2016 U.S. election campaign, 3.8 million (almost 20 percent) were generated by bots.[48] By the early 2020s, things got worse. A 2020 study assessed that bots were producing 43.2 percent of tweets.[49] A more comprehensive 2022 study by the digital intelligence agency Similarweb found that 5 percent of Twitter users were probably bots, but they generated “between 20.8% and 29.2% of the content posted to Twitter.”[50]

A white paper written by analysts at the investment bank Goldman Sachs estimates, based on data from the United States and the European Union, that a quarter of all global work could be replaced by AI tools.20 In addition, 300 million jobs worldwide could be exposed to automation, meaning part of that job could be replaced. Their methodology, however, does not inspire confidence: they rated each job task from 1 to 7 in difficulty, and simply assumed that if the task had a score of 4 and lower, that it could be automated away. Task difficulties of score 2 include “Check to see if baking bread is done” and “Interpret a blood pressure reading;” tasks of difficulty of score 4 include “Test electrical circuits” and “Complete tax forms for a small business.” In other words, they ask us to appreciate the promise of replacing bakers, nurses, electricians, and accountants with text synthesis machines. Only one of these jobs centrally involves writing text, but surely we’ll all be happy with random errors in our taxes, right?

Il est également vrai qu'un échange est une transaction dans laquelle les deux contractants gagnent tous deux. Toutes les fois que je fais librement et sans contrainte un échange quelconque, c'est que je désire plus la chose que je reçois que celle que je donne, et qu'au contraire celui avec qui je traite désire plus ce que je lui offre que ce qu'il me rend. Quand je donne mon travail pour un salaire, c'est que j'estime plus ce salaire que ce que j'aurais pu faire en travaillant pour moi-même, et que celui qui me paie prise davantage les services que je lui rends que ce qu'il me donne en retour. Quand je donne une mesure de blé pour une mesure de vin c'est que j'ai surabondamment de quoi manger, et que je n'ai pas de quoi boire ; et que celui avec qui je traite est dans le cas contraire. Quand nous sommes plusieurs qui nous soumettons à faire un travail quelconque en commun, soit pour nous défendre contre un ennemi, soit pour détruire des animaux malfaisants, soit pour nous préserver des ravages de la mer, d'une inondation, d'une contagion, soit même pour faire un pont on un chemin, c'est que chacun de nous préfère l'utilité particulière qui lui en revient, à ce qu'il aurait pu faire pour lui-même pendant ce temps. Nous sommes tous satisfaits dans toutes ces espèces d'échange, chacun de nous trouve son avantage dans l'arrangement proposé.

C'est violent en crisse, se faire sous-estimer.

The impact of AI and robotics on labour markets is expected to grow, both in developing and developed regions. In the United States, estimates range from 10% to nearly 50% of US jobs at risk of computerization.[135],[136] In China, Foxconn replaced 60,000 workers in factories with robots over the course of two years.[137] Automation could undermine industrialization in developing countries by undercutting their labour cost advantage: production once offshored by developed countries is now being reshored.[138

Putting together percentages for the two types of automatability _ 38 percent from one-to-one replacements and about 10 percent from ground-up disruption _ we are faced with a monumental challenge. Within ten to twenty years, I estimate we will be technically capable of automating 40 to 50 percent of jobs in the United States. For employees who are not outright replaced, increasing automation of their workload will continue to cut into their value-add for the company, reducing their bargaining power on wages and potentially leading to layoffs in the long term. We'll see a larger pool of unemployed workers competing for an even smaller pool of jobs, driving down wages and forcing many into part-time or "gig economy" work that lacks benefits.

PricewaterhouseCoopers estimates AI deployment will add $15.7 trillion to global GDP by 2030. China is predicted to take home $7 trillion of that total, nearly double North America’s $3.7 trillion in gains.

The market research firm iResearch estimated in 2017 that Chinese mobile payment spending outnumbered that in the United States by a ratio of fifty to one. For 2017, total transactions on China’s mobile payment platforms reportedly surpassed $17 trillion—greater than China’s GDP—an astounding number made possible by the fact that these payments allow for peer-to-peer transfers and multiple mobile transactions for items and services throughout the chain of production.

Approximately 108 tubulins in each neuron switching and oscillating in the range of 107 per second (e.g. Pokorny 8 MHz) gives an information capacity at the microtubule level of 1015 operations per second per neuron. This predicted capacity challenged and annoyed AI whose estimates for information processing at the level of neurons and synapses were virtually the same as this single-cell value, but for the entire brain (1011 neurons, 103 synapses per neuron, 102 transmissions per synapse per second = 1016 operations per second). Total brain capacity when taken at the microtubule level (in 1011 neurons) would potentially be 1026 operations per second, pushing the goalpost for AI brain equivalence farther into the future, and down into the quantum regime.

I estimate this kind of from-the-ground-up disruption will affect about 10 percent of the workforce in the United States. The hardest hit industries will be those that involve high volumes of routine optimization work paired with external marketing or customer service: fast food, financial services, security, even radiology.

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